CUP DAY BETS
Flemington Race 2 – The Macca’s Run Bm96 – 2800m
#2 Long Arm – $21 & #9 Royal Crown – $26
Incredibly open race with many winning chances. Long Arm has been below his best this prep so far but his best is good enough to win this (has previously beaten Team Captain who is $5 in this). Out to this trip with the blinkers on, I’m happy to be on at big odds. Royal Crown is an out and out stayer who hasn’t been suited in two runs this prep. From the good draw he’ll get his chance to run on today. Let’s kick off Cup Day with two roughies to build a big bank!
BACK LONG ARM & ROYAL CROWN AT HUGE ODDS
Flemington Race 3 – Subzero Bm90 – 1400m
#7 Standoff – $15 & #8 Seb Song $11
Standoff drops back from a Group 3 where she was ok first up and looks well suited to the 1400m from the good draw. Her best is good enough to win this. Seb Song has previously beaten Standoff and gets Craig Williams third up. He didn’t have the clearest run last start and look for him finding the line late.
BACK STANDOFF & SEB SONG AT DOUBLE FIGURES
Flemington Race 4 – LISTED Furphy Plate – 1800m
#5 Pappalino – $9.50/$2.80
He looks ready to run a big race third up. He’s dropping back from a decent Group 3 back into this much easier race. He gets very much in form Johnny Allen and from gate 2 he should get the run of the race. Looks outstanding value and keen to play each way.
BACK PAPPALINO EACH WAY
Flemington Race 7 – G1 Melbourne Cup – 3200m
#23 Great House – $21/$6
Absolutely no knock on Incentivise and if it happens to get to $3.50ish I’m more than happy to back him but no medals for tipping him on top. At the current prices I’m keen to back Great House with much more on the place. He has shown good improvement since racing beyond 2000m and seems to be loving Melbourne. His win on Saturday was very good and a repeat performance, with just $50kg’s on his back, can see him run into the placings. He’ll need Incentivise to face some bad luck or underperform to turn the tables on him but he looks a clear 2nd pick to me, and who knows, funny things happen in The Cup. He’s the one over the odds. You just have to have a First4 or trifecta or some sort of exotic in The Cup – Here’s my throw at the stumps for a massive collect with a First4 taking Incentivise and Great House to run first and second.
1st – 2,23
2nd – 2,23
3rd – 2,5,6,7,12,14,16,18,19,21,22,23
4th – FIELD
$420 = 100% – $210 = 50% – $105 = 25%
Good luck in THE CUP!
BACK GREAT HOUSE TO PLACE & TAKE A FIRST 4 IN THE CUP
AROUND THE GROUNDS
Randwick Race 6 – Bm72 – 1000m
#7 Six Again – $2.80
While all eyes will be on Flemington, this mare looks the best bet across the country all day. She’s been in super form winning her last two and she looks to get the run of the race – She’ll be too good for these. Use your ODDS BOOST if you can!
LOAD UP THE ODDS BOOST ON SIX AGAIN
Eagle Farm Race 4 – Bernborough Ascot Class 1 Handicap – 1000m
#7 Fetch – $2.60
She raced a little erratically first up in a much harder race. She’ll appreciate the drop back to a moderate Class 1 and continue on her winning way. Clearly the one to beat.
BACK FETCH TO WIN
Morphettville Race 1 – Maiden Handicap – 1050m
#1 Arran Bay – $3.40
Look to get the cash early on the SA card with Arran Bay. He did a lot wrong first up and cost himself the race. He’s better suited out to 1050m and if he improves his racing manners, he’s the one to beat. Looks the best bet on a tough card there.
BACK ARRAN BAY TO KICKSTART CUP DAY
Ascot Race 6 – Class 3 Handicap – 1400m
#11 Arcadia Grace – $1.60
Whether you are in front or scraping together coins by this time of the day, our lord and saviour Willie Pike can cap off a big day. There’s no fancy odds & we’ll get better by the time they jump but this looks the perfect way to blast out on Cup Day. Back Pike drink what you like!
TRUST WILLIE PIKE & LOAD UP ARCADIA GRACE