We might be faced with another wet track in Sydney but that won’t dampen our spirits. Wet or dry, the racing on show from Randwick is first class with the running of three Group 1’s and plenty of Group racing. The Derby could be a gap job if Hitotsu turns up but looks wide open outside of him. Can Fireburn repeat her performance from The Slipper in The Sires? (I think she can!) And will there be another blowout in a Group 1 sprinting race? (I think so!) Whilst I’ve narrowed in on Randwick for my best bets, don’t forget there is Group racing from Ascot with the running of the Karrakatta Plate, and Bendigo hosts its stand-alone Saturday meeting with the running of the Bendigo Guineas and Golden Mile.
As always during this time of year, the footy codes will grace our screens and our hearts this weekend also. You can check out our full previews with suggested bets for the round here:
Randwick Race 2 – G3 Carbine Club Stakes – 1600m
#9 Sweet Ruby – $11/$2.80
She was forced to work too hard to lead last start and that told in her finish, Flying Crazy conserved energy and was able to run past her. From the good alley today and with a kilo weight swing in her favour, she can race handy and will be hard to run down. Straight Arron is in the right camp to improve but maps back on a day that it might be hard to make ground. Sweet Ruby each way to kick off a big day!
Randwick Race 3 – G3 Adrian Knox Stakes – 2000m
#12 Mamounia – $8/$2.90
Slightly unconventional prep for a Group 3 2000m race but everything about this filly just screams stayer. She was 1500m up to 2000m when she bolted in her maiden with what looked like plenty in reserve. She had a month between runs when dropped back to 1300m last start at Newcastle where she only warmed up late. Quiet trial since then to keep her up to the mark and with J Kah taking the ride, expect her to race handy to them and be the strongest late.
Randwick Race 4 – G2 Chairman’s Quality – 2600m
#15 Le Baol – $10/$3.30
Having his 4th start for the Maher & Eustace stable and J Kah jumps on, they are simply outstanding with stayers. He gets a massive weight swing on Stockman from last start and he’ll love the testing conditions of this 2600m slog.
Randwick Race 6 – G1 Inglis Sires – 1400m
#12 Fireburn – $1.95
She was a dominant winner of The Slipper and that win was no fluke. We know she loves wet tracks and the 1400m looks ideal. She’ll get the right sort of run just behind the speed again and I’m tipping she’ll be dominant again.
Randwick Race 7 – G1 Australian Derby – 2400m
#1 Hitotsu – $3.70
Unconventional prep going into a derby being 2nd up at 2400m on a wet track, but he went from the 1600m of the Guineas to 2500m in the VRC Derby and botled in. The Maher & Eustace stable are not to be questioned with stayers and they will have him cherry ripe. He was super 1st up and only needs to run up to that to be winning. In we go!
Randwick Race 8 – G1 TJ Smith – 1200m
#9 Overpass – $17/$4
This is a really intriguing edition of the TJ. Nature Strip and Eduardo would normally be very hard to beat at WFA in this but their last start performances were well below their best. If you can forgive them for that run, they are the two to beat, but they look skinny enough all things considered. Overpass drops in weight being a 3yo under the WFS scale, meeting Shelby Sixtysix much better at the weights after being held up for a run behind that galloper last start. We’ve seen Shelby measure up to Eduardo and Nature Strip prior to that, happy to be on Overpass each way at big odds.
Randwick Race 9 – G1 Doncaster Mile – 1600m
#16 Forbidden Love – $3.80
Jamie Kah is looking to go back to back in this race having won it last year on Cascadian (bless her, we were on that day!). Whilst Cascadian isn’t much chance here, Jamie certainly is on board Forbidden Love. She loves wet tracks, suited at the mile, and is excellently weighted. She’ll race up on speed and looks the one to beat.
Punt Club Crew
Gamble Responsibly – 1800 858 858
*All prices are correct as of the time of writing & are courtesy of Ladbrokes.