Kembla Grange Race 7 – The Warra – 1000m
#3 Malkovich – $2
No prizes for tipping ‘John’ on top but he looks mighty hard to beat from the inside draw with the world’s greatest – J Mac in the saddle. Has all the options at the start and now at peak fitness 3rd up. Odds Boost if you can and throw in all the multis.
ODDS BOOST MALKOVICH TO WIN
Kembla Grange Race 8 – The Gong – 1600m
#12 Blue Soldier – $34/$8 & #14 Soldier of Love – $26/$7
This is wide open and there’s only a few chances that would genuinely surprise me if they won, so I’m attacking this race with two soldiers. Blue Soldier turned his form around last start when having his first start for new trainer David Payne. If that run was no fluke then he has a winning chance in this. Soldier of Love contested a much tougher race last start and didn’t get clear running when it needed it, he’ll be more than competitive in this. Backing these two each at huge odds.
BACK THE TWO SOLDIERS EACH WAY AT HUGE ODDS
Ballarat Race 8 – LISTED Ballarat Cup – 2000m
#13 Only Words – $7.50/$2.80
Another open race with many winning chances but there has been good support for this mare since markets opened ($10 into $7.50 with Ladbrokes) and I tend to agree with the early money. She might be 4 weeks between runs but Waller offsets that, she looks to get the run of the race, gets in light and Prebble sticks. She looks the each way play in the race.
BACK ONLY WORDS TO WIN THE BALLARAT CUP
Ascot Race 5 – LISTED Placid Ark Stakes – 1200m
#6 Flying Missile – $3.10
She’s the one to beat. Might have found the 1400m a little too far last start and the drop back to 1200m looks ideal. C Parnham jumps back on and that’s a huge plus also. Should jump well enough to land a handy position and be within striking distance at the top of the straight.
BACK FLYING MISSILE TO WIN
Ascot Race 6 – LISTED Carbine Club of W.A. Stakes – 1400m
#10 Hot Zed – $3.30
There’s been good money for him since markets opened up ($4.40 to $3.30 with Ladbrokes) and for good reason. He did a power of work in a fast run race last start when trapped wide without cover. C Parnham jumps on and you have to respect this stable when he jumps on board as he’s won 7 from his last 15 rides for the stable striking at 46.7%!
BACK HOT ZED TO GET THE JOB DONE
Ascot Race 7 – G2 W.A. Guineas – 1600m
#13 Treasured Star – $2.90
Blind Freddy spotted her unlucky run last start when flattened in the straight. Pike/Peters/Williams make a habit of winning these races and with the blinkers going on in her grand final, she’ll be awfully hard to beat. In Pike we trust.
BACK PIKE ON TREASURED STAR TO WIN THE GUINEAS
Ascot Race 8 – G1 Railway Stakes – 1600m
Boxed Exacta – #12 Notorious One & #16 Western Empire
Western Empire is clearly the one to beat and if you like the shorts load up on Pike and Western Empire. Notorious One ran 2nd to Western Empire last start and I see no reason why they can’t run 1 – 2 again. Not sure there is as much between them as the market suggests, so i’ll take the exacta and hope Notorious knocks off Pike on the line for the fatter divvie.
TAKE A BOXED EXACTA OF 12 & 16 IN THE RAILWAY
Kansas City Chiefs ($1.72) VS Dallas Cowboys ($2.15) – GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Dallas Cowboys +2.5 @ $1.94
The Chiefs offence has struggled recently but put up a solid showing last week against a Raiders side in turmoil. We know how good the Cowboys offence is but the difference here is the defences. The Chiefs defence is dead last in early down success rate allowed and awful against the run. The Cowboys offence is 3rd best in the NFL on early downs. This key advantage makes them a betting proposition.
BACK THE DALLAS COWBOYS AT THE LINE (+2.5)